Pathology technology roadmapping models , identify challenges, and recommendations for improve it

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 PhD student - Future Research- Imam Khomeini International University

2 Professor - Human Resources Management - University of Tehran

3 Assistant Professor - Technology Management- Scientific Research Center of Ministry of Science

Abstract

Technology roadmapping is a useful and widely used method in technology planning field , that its considerable growth in the past two decades, shows  the willingness of  different firms and organizations for using it. But despite the benefits, capabilities and ongoing development, pathology and critical studies , suggests that this method has some shortcomings and challenges in implementation and emergence and development of modifications and multiple models, arises from weak points of this method.
 In this paper, the main objective is to improve the effectiveness and conceptual bases of technology roadmapping. So in the first step, reviewing recent resources in related literature, weaknesses, areas for improvement , the various models and functions from roadmapping, are introduced  and its results is used in designing of  Twenty- question questionnaire. In the next step , analyzing the results of surveys of experts and scholars ,and using comparing with average values, the main challenges , were classified , ranked and prioritized and according to this, are provided some recommendations for improvement of technology roadmapping by using conceptual and logical principles.

Keywords


  • فهرست منابع

     الف- منابع فارسی

    • غفار زادگان مهشید :پیمان خواه صادق. (1386). مقایسه تطبیقی رویکردهای متداول ترسیم نقشه راه در راهبردهای تکنولوژی. پنجمین کنفرانس بین المللی مدیریت , تهران.
    •  منزوی ، مسعود  (1389) راهنمای برنامه‌ریزی سناریویی,راهبرد سازی در دوران عدم قطعیت(ویلسون, ب.ر.). تهران: موسسه علوم و تحقیقات دفاعی0.

    ب-منابع انگلیسی

     

    .

    • Behrendt,S;Erdmann,L;Nolte,R;Diegner,B(2007). Integrated Technology Road mapping-A practical guide to the search for technological answers to social challenges and trends.German-Frankfurt: IZT.
    • Carl Dietz,Gartner.(2005). An Introduction to Strategic Roadmapping. Alignent Software, www.alignent.com .
    • Cavallo, F (Nov 2011)V BRAID workshop . BRAID budapest ,f.cavallo@sssup.it .
    • Deloitte.(2005)A New Breed of Manufacturing: Driving Innovation with Strategic Road mapping. بازیابی از www.alignent.com: http//www.alignent.com
    • Toni Ahlqvista, Minna Halonena, Annele Eerolaa, Sirkku Kivisaaria, Johanna Kohla, Raija Koivistoa, Jouko Myllyojaa & Nina Wessberga,( 2012( Preparing for grand challenges: the role of future-oriented technology analysis in anticipating and shaping structural and systemic changes. Technology Analysis&Strategic Management, volume 24 ,issue 8.
    • Garcia, L. M.,&Bray, O. H. (1997). Garcia, L. M.,&Bray, O. H.(1997). Fundamentals of Technology Roadmapping. Strategic Business Development Department, Sandia National Laboratories .
    • Gerdsri,N;Assakul,Ph;Vatananan,R.S. (2010). An activity guideline for technology roadmapping implementation.USA: Technology Analysis&Strategic Management ,February,Vol 22,No 2 .
    • Glenn, J.(2003). Introduction to the Futures Research Methods Series. AC/UNU Millennium Project, Futures Research Methodology, V2.0 .
    • Holmes,C; Ferrill,M(2008). A Process for the Update and Review of Operation and Technology Roadmaps. International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management Vol. 5, No. 2 .
    • Industry, C.(2001). Technology Roadmapping: A Guide for Government Employees.Canada: Canadian Industry.
    • Kappel, t. A. (1998). Thechnology Roadmapping: An evaluation.USA: NORTHWESTERN UNTVEFSITY.
    • Kerr,C;Phaal,R;Probert,D. (2012). Cogitate,articulate,communicate:the pcychosocial reality of technology roadmapping and roadmaps. R&D management ,42 , 1.
    • Kostoff,R.N; Schaller,R.R.(2001). Science and technology roadmaps. IEEE Transactions of Engineering Management, 48 ,2 , pp 132-143.
    • Lash, Jeff (2012). Three Problems With Product Roadmaps. Product Management 7 .
    • Lizaso,F;Reger,G. (2004). Scenario-based RoadmappingA Conceptual View.EU-US SEMINAR: new technology foresight, forecasting&assessment methods-Seville 13-14 May.
    • Martin,H;Daim,T.U. (2012). Technology roadmap development process (TRDP) for the service sector: A conceptual framework. Technology in Society 34, 94–105.
    • Nathasit Gerdsri , Alisa Kongthon&Ronald S. Vatananan,(Mar 2013). Mapping the knowledge evolution and professional network in the field of technology roadmapping : a bibliometric analysis. Technology Analysis&Strategic , 403-422.
    • Osimo, D. ..(2009). Osimo,D."final roadmap –a participative roadmap for ICT research in electronic governance and policy modelling ".European Commission : CROSSROAD project.
    • Pataki,B;Szalkai,Z. (2010). Technology Roadmapping in Hungary: Some Practical Observation. Perspectives of Innovations, Economics&Business, Volume 5, Issue 2.
    • Phaal, R., Farrukh, C., &Probert, D.(2005). Developing a Technology Roadmapping System.UK:  Engineering Department, University of Cambridge,p 99-111.
    • Phaal, R;Farrukh,c;Probert,D. (2001). Technology Roadmapping:linking technology resources to business objectives.UK: Center for Technology Management,University of Cambridge.
    • Phaal,R; Farrukh, C; Mitchell,R; Probert,D. (2003). Starting-up roadmapping fast. IEEE Engineering Management Review, Vol.31, No. 3, Third Quarter , pp.54-60.
    • Phaal,R; Farrukh,C;Probert,D(2004). Customizing roadmapping. Research Technology Management, Vol.47, No2,March-April , pp.26-37.
    • Phaal,R;Farrukh,C.J.P;Probert,D.R. (2005). Developing a Technology Roadmapping System.UK: Engineering Department, University of Cambridge,p 99-111.
    • Price, S., Conway, P., Palmer, P.,Summers, R.(13-14 May 2014). Technology Roadmappinga new perspective. EU-US SEMINAR: NEW TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT, FORECASTING&ASSESSMENT METHODS-Seville, 67-76.
    • Robert Phaal, Clare J.P. Farrukh, David R. Probert. (2004). Technology roadmappingA planning framework forevolution and revolution. Technological Forecasting&Social Change71 , 5–26.
    • Sandia National Laboratories. (2012). Fundamentals of Technology Roadmapping. Available at: http://www.sandia.gov/Roadmap/home.htm#what02.
    • Stopper, J. (2004). The Innovation Network. the learning thrust.
    • Whalen, P.(2007). Strategic and Technology Planning on a Roadmapping Foundation. Research -Technology management,may-june , pp 40-51.
    • Yi Zhang,Ying Guo, XuefengWang, Donghua Zhu and Alan . Porter. (2015). A hybrid visualisation model for technology roadmapping: bibliometrics, qualitative methodology and empirical study. Technology Analysis&Strategic Management ,