Simulation of emergency population evacuation scenarios in crowded places when a crisis occurs

Articles in Press

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Assistant Professor, Department of Crisis Management, Non-Active Defense Faculty, Malik Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran

2 Doctoral student of the Department of Crisis Management, Faculty of Non-Active Defense, Malik Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to identify the effective factors of emergency evacuation, to examine the current situation of the airport, to identify dangerous bottlenecks and to evaluate the impact of bottlenecks during evacuation. The statistical population includes 53 specialists. The research method is descriptive-analytical, in terms of solving the combined problem and in terms of the type of explanatory results. Random sampling method and Cochran's formula was used. Analysis has been done based on Any Logic and Anp software. After conducting documentary and library studies, interviewing and completing a questionnaire, the factors affecting emergency evacuation were identified, and then two models A and B were simulated in Any Logic software, according to the current conditions, and dangerous bottlenecks were identified in points D, C, and E. has been By comparing the two models, we find that the time in model A with a total discharge time of 52 minutes and a simulation time of 3.17 minutes is more reduced compared to model B with a total discharge time of 62 minutes and a simulation time of 4.23 minutes. He placed the removal of obstacles, the removal of entrance gates as the first priority and the removal of airline office cubicles in the corridor of the traffic route on the north side of the building as the second priority. In examining the results of Anp, the two parameters of using two emergency doors and removing obstacles have been assigned the highest ranking with weights of 0.287 and 0.262, respectively. Previous researches or looking at the current conditions have entered the evacuation issue.
Strategic Defense Studies

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 15 March 2023

Files

Share

How to cite

Statistics